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How did CDSL rally 50% in three months even as profit fell?

By tanvi  | Jun 10, 2025

How did CDSL rally 50% in three months even as profit fell?

When Central Depository Services (India) Ltd (CDSL) launched in 1999, it was one of two entities tasked with a simple mission: hold India’s growing mountain of shares safely. 

Two decades later, that mission has turned into a powerful moat. With over 15 crore demat accounts, CDSL is now India’s largest depository by investor count. It’s a critical cog in the machinery that keeps the country’s stock markets humming, ensuring shares are held securely, transactions are smooth, and retail investors have a gateway to participate in India’s capital markets.

But in the first half of 2025, CDSL has done more than just keep the lights on. Its stock has rallied 50% since March, even as quarterly profits dipped and trading volumes wobbled. That’s because investors aren’t just looking at one quarter’s numbers; they’re betting on the bedrock role CDSL plays in India’s financial markets, and the quiet shifts it’s making to stay relevant.

By the numbers:

  • Market capitalisation: ₹37,170 crore
  • Total revenues (FY25): ₹1,020 crore
  • Net Profit (Q4 FY25): Standalone ₹81 crore
  • Demat accounts: 15.29 crore as of March 2025
  • Dividend (FY25): ₹12.5 per share post bonus issue

CDSL’s Q4 FY25 wasn’t its strongest showing. Profit fell 22% year-on-year to ₹100 crore, revenue from operations slipped 6.7% to ₹224 crore, and margins took a hit. Rising operational costs, softer trading volumes, and market cyclicality weighed on earnings. Yet the stock surged, closing out June 2025 near ₹1,776, miles above its March lows of ₹1,047.5.

This disconnect: between weak earnings and soaring share price tells a story of faith in the long-term, not the quarterly blips. The depository business, after all, is a backbone of India’s equity ecosystem. Every IPO, every mutual fund entry, every stock trade; CDSL sits quietly behind it, recording ownership, enabling e-voting, and managing corporate actions like dividends and bonus issues.

That bedrock status comes with built-in revenue. Annual issuer fees and transaction charges keep cash flowing even when markets turn choppy. And the numbers are robust: FY25 revenue rose 12.5% year-on-year. In Q4 alone, it added 71 lakh new demat accounts; part of a 3.73 crore surge in FY25 that underscores India’s retail investing boom.

But this isn’t just about size. CDSL is evolving. Its 25th anniversary saw it launch multilingual eCAS services, rolling out digital initiatives to make the investor experience smoother. It’s investing in eKYC, eVoting, and a new multilingual chatbot to handle investor queries round-the-clock. Behind the scenes, it’s strengthening cyber resilience and working on data-led services through its subsidiary, CDSL Ventures.

These quiet innovations matter. They’re part of a broader pivot: from being just a depository to a digital-first market infrastructure player. It’s why SEBI’s chairperson personally launched CDSL’s latest investor app and chatbot, signaling regulatory confidence in its role.

Yet risks remain. In May, SEBI flagged compliance issues from an inspection spanning July 2023 to June 2024, warning CDSL to tighten its internal controls. It’s a nudge and a caution: in a sector where trust is everything, regulatory oversight can’t be taken lightly. Meanwhile, operational challenges like higher technology costs and market dependence keep profitability from soaring. Margins hovered at 47.8% in Q4, down from 61.4% a year earlier. And while retail investing is robust now, a market downturn can quickly sap transactional revenue.

But that’s the bet investors are making: that CDSL’s moat is deep enough to weather these bumps. It’s cementing its position as the keeper of India’s market data and retail wealth. And in an ecosystem where capital markets are getting deeper and more complex by the day, that’s a position of strength.

The bottom line: CDSL isn’t a momentum play. It’s the backbone of India’s equity markets. Its steady growth, digital pivot, and foundational role in managing demat accounts make it a unique bet on India’s financial infrastructure. The 50% stock surge in three months isn’t about one quarter’s earnings. It’s about a long-term story that keeps getting stronger even if it rarely makes the front page.

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